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BREXIT - Right now worry is about volatility; for trade it depends on EU-Britain negotiations: FIEO

Updated: Jun 24, 2016 07:10:36am
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BREXIT - Right now worry is about volatility; for trade it depends on EU-Britain negotiations: FIEO

New Delhi, June 24 (KNN) Soon after Britain voted to part its way from European Union, the Indian exporters are worried about the volatility in the currency, while about the trade, the exporters feel that it all depends on the kind of negotiation that Britain works out with the EU.

“Right now we are worried about the volatility in currency because it is very clear that both British Pound and Euro may weaken and if they weaken definitely dollar will become strong and Rupee may again weaken against the dollar,” said Ajay Sahai Director General (DG) of Federation of Indian Export Organisation (FIEO).

He was commenting on the Brexit. Talking to KNN, FIEO DG said that in third country where Indian exporters are competing with Britain and Europe, these countries will have the advantage of currency with them.

However, he said that it’s too early to say what impact Indian exporters to Europe would have because much will depend on what kind of negotiation Britain works out with the EU.

“They have two years period to work out negotiated settlement with EU. If they work out let us say duty free regime with EU, they will continue to have more or less same work, same tariff advantage which they have right now. But if they come out from EU without such kind of negotiation and they close their market for free movement of labour and it will have a different impact,” said FIEO.

Britain has voted to leave the European Union in a referendum, with the result throwing into question the fate of the 28-nation bloc and several high-profile British politicians, including the prime minister. With 90 percent of the votes counted, Brexit was ahead at 52 percent following Thursday's referendum.

Sahai further explained that with the currency weakening, even imports in these markets will become costlier which will affect India as well as the rest of the countries.  If that leaves the downfall in demand then it may have impact on India as well as other countries. So the short term impact is more on the currency and may be on the demand side.

However, he said that, “I personally feel that it is too early to conclude anything. Whatever reaction we are seeing is more psychological and that’s why the Sensex has declined so much. On trade front we have to wait and see. Some of that may be positive for India and some that may be negative. It totally depends on what kind of negotiations come out with EU and Britain.”

Global financial markets started to fall as voters in Britain voted in favour of quitting the European Union. In India, the BSE Sensex slumped over 1,050 points or nearly 4 per cent, while the broader Nifty index traded below the psychological 8,000 levels as Brexit fears came true. The rupee plunged over 1.4 per cent to 68.21 per dollar mark. (KNN/ AR)

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